Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 879.897892 997.954024 1130.450346 1291.033042 1481.538566 1701.752567 1977.640190
2025-04-13 678.357736 824.758500 1004.489729 1244.618562 1562.046394 1974.584503 2563.691696
2025-04-20 602.538615 766.375377 979.778084 1284.504907 1719.384498 2335.517703 3308.980919
2025-04-27 539.943670 711.067502 944.502879 1296.053919 1830.350254 2644.816592 4051.552764
2025-05-04 496.247009 673.174173 924.315652 1320.625573 1957.998087 2997.528006 4952.671767
2025-05-11 459.477717 639.354401 903.630037 1338.209954 2073.639718 3350.307631 5954.800166
2025-05-18 436.974835 623.049968 905.685460 1389.658582 2251.537123 3846.646931 7393.888852
2025-05-25 410.212740 596.941541 888.638196 1405.729127 2368.431059 4254.813083 8796.653766
2025-06-01 382.518904 566.369717 860.542744 1397.905814 2438.257346 4584.087317 10144.957699
2025-06-08 358.046228 538.525162 833.686762 1387.980106 2501.104263 4912.118537 11627.741912
2025-06-15 342.923535 524.447278 828.327543 1416.296215 2645.339597 5456.941662 13966.907991
2025-06-22 318.194026 492.228901 788.303583 1373.224488 2631.009872 5623.655759 15255.650983
2025-06-29 295.050779 461.857934 750.420357 1333.061329 2624.049594 5828.152039 16863.176213
2025-07-06 272.934635 431.792915 710.771465 1285.315931 2593.849165 5971.811229 18383.645332
2025-07-13 264.993528 425.788459 714.489076 1326.786495 2780.206985 6765.506269 22989.861897
2025-07-20 254.016329 413.433995 704.988828 1338.828442 2897.506622 7402.436017 27527.623385
2025-07-27 245.546880 404.921068 701.951949 1364.430170 3055.022140 8224.351900 33828.941157
2025-08-03 236.928919 395.443941 696.070060 1382.756005 3197.584865 9056.865227 41249.176205
2025-08-10 232.519687 393.479593 704.935965 1436.388495 3451.135035 10397.252267 53899.198913
2025-08-17 224.771565 384.550615 698.705079 1453.145726 3602.462242 11429.592117 66391.297571
2025-08-24 215.321977 371.676482 683.139062 1444.987862 3677.226296 12193.178543 78360.379609
2025-08-31 206.379847 359.224104 667.456356 1434.638424 3743.721331 12960.635562 92293.964517
2025-09-07 201.350633 354.196627 667.289631 1464.165496 3947.753955 14473.331842 118883.892461